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03/15/2009 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Blackhawks will try to wrap a four-game homestand on a positive note in an afternoon battle with the New York Islanders at the United Center.
Chicago has lost two of three so far on the stand, getting blown out by Colorado, 5-1, last Sunday before rebounding with a shootout win over Carolina three days later.
However, the Blackhawks were dealt a 5-3 setback by Columbus on Friday to lose for the third time in four games overall. Brent Seabrook and Kris Versteeg each had a goal and an assist in the setback for Chicago. Versteeg has now scored in three of his last four games and leads all rookie skaters with 29 assists and 48 points.
Cristobal Huet was charged with four goals on 21 shots in the loss and he has yielded at least four goals in four of his last six starts (2-3-0). That could lead Chicago to start Nikolai Khabibulin, who was activated from injured reserve on Wednesday from a groin injury and hasn't played since February 11.
Khabibulin is 17-5-5 on the season but is just 5-9-0 with a 3.87 goals against average lifetime versus the Islanders. Huet, meanwhile, is 6-2-0 with a tie and 1.78 GAA against them.
Chicago, which is 18-7-6 at home this year, is fourth overall in the Western Conference, four points ahead of Vancouver.
The Blackhawks will be aiming to end a four-game skid to the Islanders today. They haven't beaten the club since a 3-2 win in New York on December 10, 2002. New York's 2-1 overtime win on January 17, 2006 was its second straight victory in the Windy City after going winless in 11 trips there.
Chicago will face a New York squad today that was cooled off a bit by Eastern Conference-leading Boston on Saturday. The Islanders had won five of their last seven heading into that contest, but were dealt a 2-1 setback.
Mark Streit scored the lone goal for the Islanders and Yann Danis stopped 23 shots in defeat. Blake Comeau had a six-game point streak come to an end in the loss.
The Islanders are now at the halfway mark of their six-game road trip and are 1-1-1 thus far on the trek. New York still has visits to Carolina and Ottawa left on the swing and is just 7-24-3 overall on the road this season.
The Isles are last in the NHL with 54 points.
<< Flyers go for sweep of home-and-home set with Rangers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - There isn't a large amount of separation in the Eastern
Conference playoff picture, but the Flyers would love to improve their
standing with another win over the rival Rangers.
Philadelphia will try to post a sweep of its
<< Lumberjacks and Roadrunners clash for Southland supremacy
Katy, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Stephen F. Austin is one step away from punching
its ticket to the Big Dance, but first the top-seeded Lumberjacks will have to
get past the sixth-seeded Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners in the title matchup
of the Sout
<< Duke meets Florida State for ACC crown
Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The ninth-ranked Duke Blue Devils go for their
record-tying 17th ACC Tournament title today, as they take on the 22nd-ranked
Florida State Seminoles in the championship game at the Georgia Dome in
Atlanta.
The
<< Buckeyes battle Boilermakers for Big Ten title
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the top two seeds in the Big Ten
Conference Tournament being sent home on Saturday afternoon, that leaves the
Ohio State Buckeyes and the 24th-ranked Purdue Boilermakers to decide the
championship in the
Pacers, Raptors square off in Toronto >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the Indiana Pacers hope to make a run at the Eastern
Conference's final playoff spot, they need to start handling their business
better on the road. The team will have an opportunity to do exactly that on
Sunday afternoon
Blazers kick off road trip in Atlanta vs. Hawks >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Portland Trail Blazers take their push to win the NBA's
Northwest Division to the deep south on Sunday when they open a key five-game
road trip against the streaking Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena.
The Blazers, who are
Exhausted Heat face Sixers in Philly >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia 76ers hope to build on a raucous Spectrum
finale on Sunday when they welcome the exhausted Miami Heat to the Wachovia
Center.
Thaddeus Young set a career-high in points in a second straight outing by
drop
Pistons host Grizzlies at the Palace >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two days after their Hall of Fame owner passed away, the
Detroit Pistons hope to continue their playoff push on Sunday when they
welcome the reeling Memphis Grizzlies to The Palace at Auburn Hills.
Bill Davidson, who pilot
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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The San Francisco 49ers (5-11 SU, 5-10-1 ATS in 2007; 1-1 SU & ATS in pre-season) found some offensive life last week, and they will try to build some momentum on Thursday night as they travel to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Bears (7-9 SU & ATS in 2007; 0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS in pre-season) in an NFL matchup that is set to get underway at 8 PM ET at Soldier Field (natural turf) in Chicago.
Thursday, August 21
NFL betting odds: CHICAGO -3 (-120), Total 37
NOTABLE STAT: San Francisco was last in points, last in total offense in 2007
KEY NFL BETTING TREND: SF has lost its last seven SU on pre-season road
In the BetUS NFL pre-season football betting odds, the Bears are listed as a three-point favorite (laying -120), with the total posted at 37 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
* SF has lost 11 of its last 14 games SU
* SF has covered three of its last 11 games
* SF has lost six of its last seven road games SU
* SF has covered one of its last seven road games
* CHI has covered five of its last eight games
* CHI has played five of its last seven games OVER the total
* CHI has covered four of its last 13 home games
* SF has lost its last seven pre-season road games SU
* CHI has covered two of its last seven home pre-season games
Well, I guess we should congratulate the Bears on making their quarterback choice for the season's opening game, as they have designated Kyle Orton the starter against Indianapolis. The Bears obviously have lost patience with Rex Grossman, and what they do with him at this point is anybody's guess. But suffice it to say that there isn't a quarterback competition anymore, at least in training camp.
Meanwhile, the quarterback competition may also be settled in San Francisco, where the Niners bounced back from a lackluster 18-6 loss to the Raiders, in which they turned the ball over four times, to execute a 34-6 rout of the Packers last Saturday. However, coach Mike Nolan has stopped short of saying that, insisting that the job is still open. But J.T. O'Sullivan, the longshot of the trio of Niner signal-callers who opened camp, will start his third straight pre-season game here. Against Green Bay, O'Sullivan was only 8-for-17, and was intercepted, but he also threw for 9.1 yards an attempt, which included a 59-yard TD pass to Josh Morgan. The others struggled.
Some offensive cohesion is badly needed, in light of the Niners' dismal 2007 campaign, in which they were dead last in the NFL in scoring, with just 13.7 points a game. And O'Sullivan is the guy who is most familiar with offensive coordinator Mike Martz's exacting system, because he learned it last year in Detroit. O'Sullivan will go at least the entire first half and may even last longer. He'll be relieved by Alex Smith, with Shawn Hill doing the mop-up work. Three receivers who were out last week - Bryant Johnson, Ashley Lelie and Arnaz Battle - will miss this game too.
That may hurt a little here, especially since the Bears will be using a lot of their defensive starters. And it's the defense that has been keeping the Bears in games thus far. In fact, the defense and special teams were responsible for the first 19 points Chicago scored against Seattle last time out, as the offense really struggled with Grossman at the controls. But maybe the first-team offense has a chance to settle a little bit as it works more with Orton at the helm.
Certainly we have concerns about the Bears' offensive line, but we like the scenario for them here, especially if O'Sullivan doesn't make some bis plays. The Niners may have nowhere else to turn right now, and they have lost seven straight road games in the pre-season. Let's take Chicago, the three-point favorite in the NFL football betting odds.
CHICAGO -3 (-120) **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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